BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Story City Roland-Story
Class: 2A Class Rank: 40 Conference: 2A-3 Record: (2-12-0) Overall: (28-60-0) Overall Strength = 66.10
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/26/2011 Away W 92.37 23 6 1A 27 ( 52- 40- 0) South Hamilton 26.25 -9.25
2 09/02/2011 Home W 105.15 34 14 3A 25 ( 56- 42- 0) Bondurant-Farrar 39.04 -19.04
3 09/09/2011 Home W 75.97 35 20 1A 39 ( 28- 54- 0) Eldora South Hardin 9.86 5.14
4 09/16/2011 Away L 49.79 13 42 3A 39 ( 50- 47- 0) Alleman North Polk -16.32 -12.68
5 09/23/2011 Home L 71.20 30 31 ZZ 25 ( 34- 25- 0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt 5.08 -6.08
6 09/30/2011 Away L 60.50 14 35 A 12 ( 63- 39- 0) Fort Dodge St Edmond -5.61 -15.39
7 10/07/2011 Away W 86.88 36 0 1A 49 ( 14- 77- 0) East Marshall 20.77 15.23
8 10/14/2011 Home L * 42.47 7 47 2A 16 ( 66- 36- 0) West Marshall -23.64 -16.36
9 10/21/2011 Away W 102.27 35 13 3A 37 ( 48- 48- 0) Gilbert 36.15 -14.15
10 08/17/2012 Home L 86.69 26 27 ZZ 15 ( 79- 30- 0) Monroe Prairie City- 20.57 -21.57
11 08/24/2012 Home L 68.82 3 6 1A 27 ( 52- 40- 0) South Hamilton 2.71 -5.71
12 08/31/2012 Away W 82.74 35 28 ZZ 25 ( 34- 25- 0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt 16.63 -9.63
13 09/07/2012 Away L 67.79 6 17 3A 39 ( 50- 47- 0) Alleman North Polk 1.68 -12.68
14 09/21/2012 Away L 48.88 31 33 1A 49 ( 14- 77- 0) East Marshall -17.23 15.23
15 09/28/2012 Home L 61.77 6 20 ZZ 21 ( 43- 45- 0) Jefferson Greene -4.35 -9.65
16 10/05/2012 Away L 58.27 20 42 3A 37 ( 48- 48- 0) Gilbert -7.85 -14.15
17 10/12/2012 Home L * 60.47 6 28 2A 16 ( 66- 36- 0) West Marshall -5.64 -16.36
18 10/19/2012 Home L 53.33 23 41 3A 43 ( 41- 52- 0) Nevada -12.78 -5.22
19 08/30/2013 Away L 53.37 0 22 1A 27 ( 52- 40- 0) South Hamilton -12.75 -9.25 ND
20 09/06/2013 Home L 37.20 7 42 ZZ 25 ( 34- 25- 0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt -28.92 -6.08 ND
21 09/13/2013 Home L 66.25 20 29 3A 39 ( 50- 47- 0) Alleman North Polk 0.14 -9.14
22 09/20/2013 Away W 72.51 20 12 1A 39 ( 28- 54- 0) Eldora South Hardin 6.40 1.60
23 09/27/2013 Home W 69.34 42 20 1A 49 ( 14- 77- 0) East Marshall 3.22 18.78
24 10/04/2013 Away L 59.31 0 20 ZZ 21 ( 43- 45- 0) Jefferson Greene -6.80 -13.20 ND
25 10/11/2013 Home L 56.72 21 41 3A 37 ( 48- 48- 0) Gilbert -9.39 -10.61
26 10/18/2013 Away L * 44.01 6 48 2A 16 ( 66- 36- 0) West Marshall -22.10 -19.90
27 10/25/2013 Away L 58.88 26 42 3A 43 ( 41- 52- 0) Nevada -7.24 -8.76
28 08/29/2014 Away L 61.37 10 24 1A 27 ( 52- 40- 0) South Hamilton -4.75 -9.25
29 09/05/2014 Home L 66.20 26 32 ZZ 25 ( 34- 25- 0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt 0.08 -6.08
30 09/12/2014 Home L 57.13 14 44 2A 12 ( 65- 43- 0) LaPorte City Union -8.98 -21.02
31 09/19/2014 Away L 46.51 14 32 1A 39 ( 28- 54- 0) Eldora South Hardin -19.60 1.60
32 09/26/2014 Away L 43.79 14 49 3A 39 ( 50- 47- 0) Alleman North Polk -22.32 -12.68
33 10/03/2014 Home L 32.59 7 49 2A 24 ( 41- 56- 0) Tama South Tama -33.52 -8.48
34 10/10/2014 Home W 54.34 21 14 1A 49 ( 14- 77- 0) East Marshall -11.78 18.78
35 10/17/2014 Away L 48.90 7 42 1A 17 ( 60- 39- 0) Aplington AP -17.21 -17.79
36 10/24/2014 Home L * 63.99 14 17 2A 36 ( 34- 58- 0) Iowa Falls-Alden -2.12 -0.88
37 09/04/2015 Away L 57.74 30 48 ZZ 25 ( 34- 25- 0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt -8.37 -9.63 ND
38 09/11/2015 Away L 70.67 21 41 2A 12 ( 65- 43- 0) LaPorte City Union 4.56 -24.56
39 09/18/2015 Home W 79.97 19 0 1A 39 ( 28- 54- 0) Eldora South Hardin 13.86 5.14
40 09/25/2015 Home W 77.25 23 21 3A 39 ( 50- 47- 0) Alleman North Polk 11.14 -9.14 ND
41 10/02/2015 Away L 29.13 0 49 2A 24 ( 41- 56- 0) Tama South Tama -36.98 -12.02
42 10/09/2015 Away W 69.88 26 7 1A 49 ( 14- 77- 0) East Marshall 3.77 15.23
43 10/16/2015 Home L 39.36 21 62 1A 17 ( 60- 39- 0) Aplington AP -26.75 -14.25
44 10/23/2015 Away L * 69.53 13 14 2A 36 ( 34- 58- 0) Iowa Falls-Alden 3.42 -4.42
45 08/26/2016 Home L 56.72 13 33 3A 37 ( 48- 48- 0) Gilbert -9.39 -10.61 ND
46 09/02/2016 Away W 105.37 37 7 1A 27 ( 52- 40- 0) South Hamilton 39.25 -9.25 ND
47 09/09/2016 Home W 87.20 21 6 ZZ 25 ( 34- 25- 0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt 21.08 -6.08
48 09/16/2016 Away W 92.88 48 6 1A 49 ( 14- 77- 0) East Marshall 26.77 15.23
49 09/23/2016 Home W 76.65 42 6 2A 53 ( 17- 74- 0) Saydel 10.54 25.46
50 09/30/2016 Home W 108.36 42 14 1A 17 ( 60- 39- 0) Aplington AP 42.25 -14.25
51 10/07/2016 Away L 58.63 3 42 1A 2 ( 93- 22- 0) Dike-New Hartford -7.49 -31.51
52 10/14/2016 Home W 89.97 35 6 1A 39 ( 28- 54- 0) Eldora South Hardin 23.86 5.14
53 10/21/2016 Away W * 111.01 31 6 2A 16 ( 66- 36- 0) West Marshall 44.90 -19.90
54 10/28/2016 Away L 60.23 7 38 ZZ 15 ( 79- 30- 0) Monroe Prairie City- -5.88 -25.12
55 08/18/2017 Away L 70.79 6 14 3A 39 ( 50- 47- 0) Alleman North Polk 4.68 -12.68 ND
56 08/25/2017 Away W 89.27 36 27 3A 37 ( 48- 48- 0) Gilbert 23.15 -14.15 ND
57 09/01/2017 Home L 68.82 13 16 1 1A 27 ( 52- 40- 0) South Hamilton 2.71 -5.71
58 09/15/2017 Home W 65.34 42 24 1A 49 ( 14- 77- 0) East Marshall -0.78 18.78
59 09/22/2017 Away W 72.20 42 14 2A 53 ( 17- 74- 0) Saydel 6.08 21.92
60 09/29/2017 Away L 76.90 21 28 1A 17 ( 60- 39- 0) Aplington AP 10.79 -17.79
61 10/06/2017 Home L 78.08 0 16 1A 2 ( 93- 22- 0) Dike-New Hartford 11.97 -27.97
62 10/13/2017 Away W 99.51 35 0 1A 39 ( 28- 54- 0) Eldora South Hardin 33.40 1.60
63 10/20/2017 Home L * 80.47 20 22 2A 16 ( 66- 36- 0) West Marshall 14.36 -16.36
64 08/24/2018 Away W 96.88 46 14 ZZ 34 ( 10- 26- 0) Clarion Clarion-Gold 30.76 1.24 ND
65 08/31/2018 Home L 74.72 26 28 3A 37 ( 48- 48- 0) Gilbert 8.61 -10.61 ND
66 09/07/2018 Away L 51.23 14 54 ZZ 15 ( 79- 30- 0) Monroe Prairie City- -14.88 -25.12 ND
67 09/14/2018 Away W * 76.53 34 28 2A 36 ( 34- 58- 0) Iowa Falls-Alden 10.42 -4.42 ND
68 09/21/2018 Home L * 67.47 19 34 2A 16 ( 66- 36- 0) West Marshall 1.36 -16.36
69 09/28/2018 Away L 54.67 8 44 2A 12 ( 65- 43- 0) LaPorte City Union -11.44 -24.56
70 10/05/2018 Home L 60.22 7 21 3A 40 ( 47- 47- 0) Van Horne Benton -5.90 -8.10
71 10/12/2018 Away W 78.75 21 14 2A 34 ( 21- 68- 0) Vinton-Shellsburg 12.63 -5.63
72 10/19/2018 Home W 86.33 49 34 3A 43 ( 41- 52- 0) Nevada 20.22 -5.22
73 08/30/2019 Home W 94.33 39 6 ZZ 34 ( 10- 26- 0) Clarion Clarion-Gold 28.22 4.78 ND
74 09/06/2019 Away L 57.27 12 35 3A 37 ( 48- 48- 0) Gilbert -8.85 -14.15 ND
75 09/13/2019 Home L 74.69 6 19 ZZ 15 ( 79- 30- 0) Monroe Prairie City- 8.57 -21.57 ND
76 09/20/2019 Home L * 55.99 14 25 2A 36 ( 34- 58- 0) Iowa Falls-Alden -10.12 -0.88 ND
77 09/27/2019 Away L * 55.01 0 31 2A 16 ( 66- 36- 0) West Marshall -11.10 -19.90
78 10/04/2019 Home L 57.13 12 42 2A 12 ( 65- 43- 0) LaPorte City Union -8.98 -21.02
79 10/11/2019 Away L 42.76 7 42 3A 40 ( 47- 47- 0) Van Horne Benton -23.35 -11.65
80 10/18/2019 Home L 50.20 7 25 2A 34 ( 21- 68- 0) Vinton-Shellsburg -15.91 -2.09
81 10/25/2019 Away L 61.88 14 27 3A 43 ( 41- 52- 0) Nevada -4.24 -8.76
82 08/28/2020 Away L 41.37 8 42 1A 27 ( 52- 40- 0) South Hamilton -24.75 -9.25 ND
83 09/04/2020 Home L 14.33 6 63 3A 43 ( 41- 52- 0) Nevada -51.78 -5.22 ND
84 09/11/2020 Away L * 59.58 0 15 2A 29 ( 34- 58- 0) Forest City -6.54 -8.46
85 09/18/2020 Home L * 35.47 13 60 2A 16 ( 66- 36- 0) West Marshall -30.64 -16.36
86 10/02/2020 Home L 38.77 0 21 ZZ 35 ( 7- 19- 0) Hampton Hampton-Dumo -27.34 6.34
87 10/09/2020 Away L * 81.09 40 56 2A 8 ( 75- 29- 0) Clear Lake 14.98 -30.98
88 10/16/2020 Away L 40.54 8 50 2A 19 ( 47- 46- 0) Independence -25.57 -16.43
Averages 66.10 19.4 27.6
Best game: 111.01 = 25 point win over State Center West Marshall
Worst game: 14.33 = 57 point loss to Nevada
Team stdev: 19.36