BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Story City Roland-Story

Class: 2A Class Rank: 39 Conference: 2A-3 Record: (2-13-0) Overall: (28-60-0) Overall Strength =   66.20

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Away    W      92.49  23   6   1A 26 ( 52- 40-  0) South Hamilton         26.27     -9.27                      
 2 09/02/2011 Home    W     105.25  34  14   3A 25 ( 56- 42-  0) Bondurant-Farrar       39.03    -19.03                      
 3 09/09/2011 Home    W      76.04  35  20   1A 40 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin     9.82      5.18                      
 4 09/16/2011 Away    L      49.91  13  42   3A 39 ( 50- 47-  0) Alleman North Polk    -16.30    -12.70                      
 5 09/23/2011 Home    L      71.30  30  31   ZZ 12 ( 34- 25-  0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt    5.08     -6.08                      
 6 09/30/2011 Away    L      60.60  14  35    A 11 ( 63- 39-  0) Fort Dodge St Edmond   -5.61    -15.39                      
 7 10/07/2011 Away    W      86.99  36   0   1A 49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall          20.78     15.22                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    L * *  42.56   7  47   2A 14 ( 66- 36-  0) West Marshall         -23.65    -16.35                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    W     102.39  35  13   3A 37 ( 48- 48-  0) Gilbert                36.18    -14.18                      
10 08/17/2012 Home    L      86.80  26  27   2A  9 ( 78- 31-  0) Prairie City-Monroe    20.58    -21.58                      
11 08/24/2012 Home    L      68.92   3   6   1A 26 ( 52- 40-  0) South Hamilton          2.70     -5.70                      
12 08/31/2012 Away    W      82.87  35  28   ZZ 12 ( 34- 25-  0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt   16.65     -9.65                      
13 09/07/2012 Away    L      67.91   6  17   3A 39 ( 50- 47-  0) Alleman North Polk      1.70    -12.70                      
14 09/21/2012 Away    L      48.99  31  33   1A 49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall         -17.22     15.22                      
15 09/28/2012 Home    L      61.87   6  20   2A 21 ( 43- 45-  0) Greene County          -4.35     -9.65                      
16 10/05/2012 Away    L      58.39  20  42   3A 37 ( 48- 48-  0) Gilbert                -7.82    -14.18                      
17 10/12/2012 Home    L * *  60.56   6  28   2A 14 ( 66- 36-  0) West Marshall          -5.65    -16.35                      
18 10/19/2012 Home    L      53.43  23  41   3A 43 ( 41- 52-  0) Nevada                -12.78     -5.22                      
19 08/30/2013 Away    L      53.49   0  22   1A 26 ( 52- 40-  0) South Hamilton        -12.73     -9.27  ND                  
20 09/06/2013 Home    L      37.30   7  42   ZZ 12 ( 34- 25-  0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt  -28.92     -6.08  ND                  
21 09/13/2013 Home    L      66.34  20  29   3A 39 ( 50- 47-  0) Alleman North Polk      0.13     -9.13                      
22 09/20/2013 Away    W      72.61  20  12   1A 40 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin     6.39      1.61                      
23 09/27/2013 Home    W      69.42  42  20   1A 49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall           3.20     18.80                      
24 10/04/2013 Away    L      59.44   0  20   2A 21 ( 43- 45-  0) Greene County          -6.78    -13.22  ND                  
25 10/11/2013 Home    L      56.82  21  41   3A 37 ( 48- 48-  0) Gilbert                -9.40    -10.60                      
26 10/18/2013 Away    L * *  44.13   6  48   2A 14 ( 66- 36-  0) West Marshall         -22.08    -19.92                      
27 10/25/2013 Away    L      59.00  26  42   3A 43 ( 41- 52-  0) Nevada                 -7.21     -8.79                      
28 08/29/2014 Away    L      61.49  10  24   1A 26 ( 52- 40-  0) South Hamilton         -4.73     -9.27                      
29 09/05/2014 Home    L      66.30  26  32   ZZ 12 ( 34- 25-  0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt    0.08     -6.08                      
30 09/12/2014 Home    L      57.22  14  44   2A 10 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union     -8.99    -21.01                      
31 09/19/2014 Away    L      46.61  14  32   1A 40 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin   -19.61      1.61                      
32 09/26/2014 Away    L      43.91  14  49   3A 39 ( 50- 47-  0) Alleman North Polk    -22.30    -12.70                      
33 10/03/2014 Home    L      32.68   7  49   2A 23 ( 41- 56-  0) Tama South Tama       -33.53     -8.47                      
34 10/10/2014 Home    W      54.42  21  14   1A 49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall         -11.80     18.80                      
35 10/17/2014 Away    L      48.99   7  42   1A 16 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP          -17.22    -17.78                      
36 10/24/2014 Home    L * *  64.07  14  17   2A 35 ( 34- 58-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden       -2.15     -0.85                      
37 09/04/2015 Away    L      57.87  30  48   ZZ 12 ( 34- 25-  0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt   -8.35     -9.65  ND                  
38 09/11/2015 Away    L      70.79  21  41   2A 10 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union      4.58    -24.58                      
39 09/18/2015 Home    W      80.04  19   0   1A 40 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin    13.82      5.18                      
40 09/25/2015 Home    W      77.34  23  21   3A 39 ( 50- 47-  0) Alleman North Polk     11.13     -9.13  ND                  
41 10/02/2015 Away    L      29.25   0  49   2A 23 ( 41- 56-  0) Tama South Tama       -36.96    -12.04                      
42 10/09/2015 Away    W      69.99  26   7   1A 49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall           3.78     15.22                      
43 10/16/2015 Home    L      39.42  21  62   1A 16 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP          -26.79    -14.21                      
44 10/23/2015 Away    L * *  69.64  13  14   2A 35 ( 34- 58-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden        3.42     -4.42                      
45 08/26/2016 Home    L      56.82  13  33   3A 37 ( 48- 48-  0) Gilbert                -9.40    -10.60  ND                  
46 09/02/2016 Away    W     105.49  37   7   1A 26 ( 52- 40-  0) South Hamilton         39.27     -9.27  ND                  
47 09/09/2016 Home    W      87.30  21   6   ZZ 12 ( 34- 25-  0) Collins-Maxwell-Baxt   21.08     -6.08                      
48 09/16/2016 Away    W      92.99  48   6   1A 49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall          26.78     15.22                      
49 09/23/2016 Home    W      76.76  42   6   2A 53 ( 17- 74-  0) Saydel                 10.54     25.46                      
50 09/30/2016 Home    W     108.42  42  14   1A 16 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP           42.21    -14.21                      
51 10/07/2016 Away    L      58.73   3  42   1A  1 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford      -7.49    -31.51                      
52 10/14/2016 Home    W      90.04  35   6   1A 40 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin    23.82      5.18                      
53 10/21/2016 Away    W * * 111.13  31   6   2A 14 ( 66- 36-  0) West Marshall          44.92    -19.92                      
54 10/28/2016 Away    L      60.37   7  38   2A  9 ( 78- 31-  0) Prairie City-Monroe    -5.84    -25.16                      
55 08/18/2017 Away    L      70.91   6  14   3A 39 ( 50- 47-  0) Alleman North Polk      4.70    -12.70  ND                  
56 08/25/2017 Away    W      89.39  36  27   3A 37 ( 48- 48-  0) Gilbert                23.18    -14.18  ND                  
57 09/01/2017 Home    L      68.92  13  16 1 1A 26 ( 52- 40-  0) South Hamilton          2.70     -5.70                      
58 09/15/2017 Home    W      65.42  42  24   1A 49 ( 14- 77-  0) East Marshall          -0.80     18.80                      
59 09/22/2017 Away    W      72.33  42  14   2A 53 ( 17- 74-  0) Saydel                  6.11     21.89                      
60 09/29/2017 Away    L      76.99  21  28   1A 16 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP           10.78    -17.78                      
61 10/06/2017 Home    L      78.16   0  16   1A  1 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford      11.94    -27.94                      
62 10/13/2017 Away    W      99.61  35   0   1A 40 ( 28- 54-  0) Eldora South Hardin    33.39      1.61                      
63 10/20/2017 Home    L * *  80.56  20  22   2A 14 ( 66- 36-  0) West Marshall          14.35    -16.35                      
64 08/24/2018 Away    W      96.91  46  14   1A 39 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion CGD            30.69      1.31  ND                  
65 08/31/2018 Home    L      74.82  26  28   3A 37 ( 48- 48-  0) Gilbert                 8.60    -10.60  ND                  
66 09/07/2018 Away    L      51.37  14  54   2A  9 ( 78- 31-  0) Prairie City-Monroe   -14.84    -25.16  ND                  
67 09/14/2018 Away    W * *  76.64  34  28   2A 35 ( 34- 58-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden       10.42     -4.42  ND                  
68 09/21/2018 Home    L * *  67.56  19  34   2A 14 ( 66- 36-  0) West Marshall           1.35    -16.35                      
69 09/28/2018 Away    L      54.79   8  44   2A 10 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union    -11.42    -24.58                      
70 10/05/2018 Home    L      60.31   7  21   3A 40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton       -5.90     -8.10                      
71 10/12/2018 Away    W      78.86  21  14   2A 33 ( 21- 68-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg      12.65     -5.65                      
72 10/19/2018 Home    W      86.43  49  34   3A 43 ( 41- 52-  0) Nevada                 20.22     -5.22                      
73 08/30/2019 Home    W      94.34  39   6   1A 39 ( 10- 26-  0) Clarion CGD            28.12      4.88  ND                  
74 09/06/2019 Away    L      57.39  12  35   3A 37 ( 48- 48-  0) Gilbert                -8.82    -14.18  ND                  
75 09/13/2019 Home    L      74.80   6  19   2A  9 ( 78- 31-  0) Prairie City-Monroe     8.58    -21.58  ND                  
76 09/20/2019 Home    L * *  56.07  14  25   2A 35 ( 34- 58-  0) Iowa Falls-Alden      -10.15     -0.85  ND                  
77 09/27/2019 Away    L * *  55.13   0  31   2A 14 ( 66- 36-  0) West Marshall         -11.08    -19.92                      
78 10/04/2019 Home    L      57.22  12  42   2A 10 ( 65- 43-  0) LaPorte City Union     -8.99    -21.01                      
79 10/11/2019 Away    L      42.88   7  42   3A 40 ( 47- 47-  0) Van Horne Benton      -23.33    -11.67                      
80 10/18/2019 Home    L      50.29   7  25   2A 33 ( 21- 68-  0) Vinton-Shellsburg     -15.92     -2.08                      
81 10/25/2019 Away    L      62.00  14  27   3A 43 ( 41- 52-  0) Nevada                 -4.21     -8.79                      
82 08/28/2020 Away    L      41.49   8  42   1A 26 ( 52- 40-  0) South Hamilton        -24.73     -9.27  ND                  
83 09/04/2020 Home    L      14.43   6  63   3A 43 ( 41- 52-  0) Nevada                -51.78     -5.22  ND                  
84 09/11/2020 Away    L * *  59.68   0  15   2A 28 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City            -6.54     -8.46                      
85 09/18/2020 Home    L * *  35.56  13  60   2A 14 ( 66- 36-  0) West Marshall         -30.65    -16.35                      
86 10/02/2020 Home    L * *  38.84   0  21   2A 41 (  7- 19-  0) Hampton-Dumont-CAL    -27.37      6.37                      
87 10/09/2020 Away    L * *  81.20  40  56   2A  5 ( 75- 29-  0) Clear Lake             14.99    -30.99                      
88 10/16/2020 Away    L      40.66   8  50   2A 17 ( 47- 46-  0) Independence          -25.55    -16.45                      
      Averages              66.20  19.4 27.6

Best game:  111.13 = 25 point win over State Center West Marshall
Worst game:  14.43 = 57 point loss to Nevada
Team stdev:  19.36